The Forecaster Scorecard · preview edition
Verified Voices
The people and shows that make our work possible. Synthos learns from a curated universe of independent investors and shows. We grade their historical, dated predictions against what markets actually did afterward — with partial credit for calls that landed close — across 10,343 matured predictions. These are the voices whose track record came out ahead. As our source pool grows, so will this page.
Synthos Research · as of 2026-08-30 · first full edition: February 2027AI, Crypto, Equities, Macro, unassigned · curator feed
Real Vision
538 graded predictions · dated calls that graded out ahead of the field as they matured.
AI, Crypto, Equities, Macro, unassigned · voice
Arthur Hayes
544 graded predictions · dated calls that graded out ahead of the field as they matured.
Crypto, Equities, Macro, unassigned · voice
Darius Dale
420 graded predictions · dated calls that graded out ahead of the field as they matured.
Equities, Macro, unassigned · curator feed
Macrovoices
373 graded predictions · dated calls that graded out ahead of the field as they matured.
AI · curator feed
Latent Space
52 graded predictions · dated calls that graded out ahead of the field as they matured.
AI, Equities, Macro, unassigned · curator feed
We Study Billionaires
120 graded predictions · dated calls that graded out ahead of the field as they matured.
Equities, Macro · voice
Nassim Taleb
37 graded predictions · dated calls that graded out ahead of the field as they matured.
AI, Equities · voice
Gavin Baker
67 graded predictions · dated calls that graded out ahead of the field as they matured.
AI, Equities, Frontier tech, Macro, unassigned · curator feed
Business Breakdowns
257 graded predictions · dated calls that graded out ahead of the field as they matured.
Equities, Macro · voice
Mike Green
82 graded predictions · dated calls that graded out ahead of the field as they matured.
Macro · voice
Erik Townsend
38 graded predictions · dated calls that graded out ahead of the field as they matured.
AI, Equities, unassigned · curator feed
Compound And Friends
106 graded predictions · dated calls that graded out ahead of the field as they matured.
Equities, Macro, unassigned · voice
Ray Dalio
96 graded predictions · dated calls that graded out ahead of the field as they matured.
Equities, Macro, Medicine, unassigned · voice
Biotech Hangout
174 graded predictions · dated calls that graded out ahead of the field as they matured.
AI, Equities, unassigned · voice
Bill Gurley
128 graded predictions · dated calls that graded out ahead of the field as they matured.
AI · voice
Ml Street Talk
92 graded predictions · dated calls that graded out ahead of the field as they matured.
Equities, Macro · voice
Marko Papic
73 graded predictions · dated calls that graded out ahead of the field as they matured.
Macro · voice
Doomberg
148 graded predictions · dated calls that graded out ahead of the field as they matured.
AI, Crypto, Equities, Macro, unassigned · voice
Lyn Alden
546 graded predictions · dated calls that graded out ahead of the field as they matured.
Equities, Macro, unassigned · voice
Warren Pies
129 graded predictions · dated calls that graded out ahead of the field as they matured.
AI, Crypto, Equities, Macro, unassigned · voice
Jordi Visser
611 graded predictions · dated calls that graded out ahead of the field as they matured.
AI, Equities, Macro, unassigned · curator feed
Invest Like The Best
169 graded predictions · dated calls that graded out ahead of the field as they matured.
AI, Crypto, Equities · voice
Quarantine Misattributed
74 graded predictions · dated calls that graded out ahead of the field as they matured.
AI, Equities, Macro, unassigned · voice
Andreas Steno
246 graded predictions · dated calls that graded out ahead of the field as they matured.
AI, Crypto, Equities, Macro, unassigned · voice
Luke Gromen
738 graded predictions · dated calls that graded out ahead of the field as they matured.
How to read this — and who is NOT here
This is a roll of honor, not a ranking of everyone. We list only the independent voices whose dated calls graded out ahead over a meaningful track record — everyone else is simply unlisted, and we never publish who came up short. One eligibility rule: executives and officials speaking about their own companies or policies are graded like everyone else but are not eligible for this list — guidance about your own book is not independent forecasting.