Synthos Research · the Conviction Board
Straight answers to the market's big questions
62 questions, answered with numbers. Every answer is measured expert conviction — distilled from 53,000+ dated, attributed claims, weighted by verified track record, updated weekly, and graded in public. Ordered by how intensely the knowledge base debates each topic.
as of July 6, 2026 · updated weeklyMacro & the big picture
Should investors worry about US–China decoupling?Will the Fed cut rates in 2026?Should I buy gold right now?Is gold still a good investment in 2026?Why is gold going up?What does currency debasement mean for my savings?Is the dollar going to collapse?Should I hedge against dollar devaluation?Are energy stocks a good buy in 2026?Why are commodities going up?Should I buy long-term bonds now?Is TLT a good investment in 2026?Will bond yields come down?Why do experts prefer gold over bonds right now?Is inflation coming back in 2026?Will inflation go back to 2%?Will tariffs cause inflation?Are we heading for a recession in 2026?Is labor scarcity permanent?Is the Fed going to print money again?Will QE come back in 2026?What happens to markets when QT ends?Is the US debt a real problem?Can the US ever pay off its debt?What is fiscal dominance?AI & technology
Is Nvidia still a buy?Where is expert conviction highest in AI?Is AI a bubble?Is the AI trade over?Should I invest in AI infrastructure stocks?Are datacenter stocks overvalued?Is AI capex sustainable?How do I get AI exposure without buying chip stocks?Are AI agents the next big thing?Will AI take my job?Who wins the AI race — the US or China?When will AGI arrive?Will AI cause deflation or inflation?Are humanoid robots the next big market?Crypto
Are Ethereum and Solana good investments now?Should I buy altcoins now?Is Bitcoin a good investment in 2026?Will Bitcoin hit $200k?Is the crypto bull market over?Are stablecoins the real crypto story?What will drive the next crypto cycle?Portfolio & strategy
How are the experts positioned for 2026?Is the 60/40 portfolio dead?What are the biggest risks to markets right now?What's the most contrarian trade right now?What assets protect against inflation?Where do the best-graded investors have conviction now?Is passive investing distorting the market?Health & longevity
How do I invest in longevity?What do longevity scientists actually agree on?Are GLP-1 stocks still a buy?Is the GLP-1 hype justified by the science?Will AI transform drug discovery?Frontier tech
Should I invest in space stocks?Is nuclear power making a comeback?Is quantum computing investable yet?Is neurotech investable?Have a question we haven't answered?
Ask it — good questions become pages here, answered with measured expert conviction.
Ask it — good questions become pages here, answered with measured expert conviction.